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Bitcoin exchange supply hits six year low post ath

Bitcoin Supply Plummets | 6-Year Low Signals Self-Custody Trend

By

Michael Chen

Oct 6, 2025, 05:35 PM

Edited By

Sofia Chen

2 minutes estimated to read

A graphic showing a downward trend in Bitcoin supply on exchanges, alongside a Bitcoin symbol

Bitcoin's supply on exchanges has dropped to a six-year low of 2.8 million BTC. This significant decline follows Bitcoin's recent all-time high (ATH) of $125,506, igniting discussions among crypto enthusiasts and experts alike.

The Shift Toward Self-Custody

Comments across various forums reveal mixed sentiments regarding the latest developments. Many assert that the falling supply indicates a move towards self-custody, showcasing a growing trend among holders wanting to keep their assets secure. One noted,

"Swear these posts must be scheduled weekly," hinting at the repetitive nature of exchange metrics discussions.

Despite optimism, concerns linger. A comment stated, "This kind of metric never matters for the past 4 years. Any whale could send back to exchange in seconds." This skepticism underscores the volatile nature of crypto assets, where large movements can quickly alter exchange balances.

Institutional Accumulation on the Rise

Growing institutional interest is evident, with 344 entities holding million BTC in corporate treasuries. This accumulation reflects a strategic approach to Bitcoin as a long-term asset. As one user remarked, "The fabled supply shock incoming. Soon the governments all over the world will go to war over 0.1 BTC."

Interestingly, Bitcoin's price remains robust, consolidating above $122,000. Technical indicators suggest potential for further gains, adding to the allure despite the caution expressed by some, who fear that ETFs or whales could easily manipulate exchange supplies.

Potential Impacts on the Market

The current drop in exchange supply raises questions about future price movements and market stability. Could declining exchange reserves pave the way for potential price spikes?

Key Insights

  • β–³ Bitcoin's exchange supply hits 2.8 million BTC, a 6-year low.

  • β–½ Institutional holdings reflect a strategic long-term view, with 344 entities cashing in.

  • β€» "Means nothing; ETFs or whales can dump at any time," suggests skepticism among some participants.

Ethereum enthusiasts and investors are watching closely as this trend unfolds. How will exchanges respond, and what implications will this have for market dynamics?

For more information on cryptocurrency trends, check out CoinDesk or CoinTelegraph.

Stay tuned for updates as this story develops!

The Road Ahead for Bitcoin

There's a strong chance that as Bitcoin's exchange supply continues to dwindle, we could see upward pressure on prices, potentially pushing them past the current $125,000 mark. Experts estimate around a 60% probability that institutional players will continue to accumulate, which may tighten supply further. This could trigger price spikes if retail demand follows suit, creating an environment ripe for volatility. However, with skepticism still present regarding large holders' influence, the market could also react swiftly to any major movements from whales or institutional investors, leading to sudden drops in prices as easily as gains.

Historical Echoes of Supply Displacement

In reflecting on the current state of Bitcoin's exchange supply, a unique parallel arises when looking at historical grain shortages. During the Great Depression, an unprecedented drop in wheat reserves led both to rising prices and significant social upheaval. Much like today’s crypto climate, where institutional players are hoarding assets, farmers in that time made strategic decisions to stockpile grain rather than sell. Just as those choices impacted supply chains and market pricing, the current trend towards self-custody among Bitcoin holders might reshape the crypto landscape in unexpected ways.