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Gemini exec predicts bitcoin cycle will persist in 2025

Bitcoin Cycle Expected to Persist | Expert Insights from Gemini Executive

By

Gabriela Chen

Oct 4, 2025, 10:01 AM

Edited By

Emily Harper

2 minutes estimated to read

Gemini executives discussing Bitcoin market predictions for 2025
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Bitcoin's price movements are under the spotlight again. Saad Ahmed, head of APAC at Gemini, has indicated that the cryptocurrency's four-year cycle is "very likely" to continue, regardless of changing market conditions. Amidst ongoing discussions, the sentiment among people reflects a mix of curiosity and skepticism.

Strong Bitcoin Surge Ahead

Recently, Bitcoin experienced a significant surge of 11.5%, bringing it closer to its all-time high. This boost aligns with a historical trend, as the fourth quarter typically shows strong performance for this cryptocurrency. Ahmed emphasized that human emotions and market dynamics play key roles in maintaining these cycles, suggesting that the emotional aspect of trading could keep price fluctuations persistent.

"While institutional involvement might reduce volatility, cycles will still prevail," Ahmed stated, pointing to the ongoing nature of market cycles.

Analysts Weigh In on Future Cycles

The debate surrounding the relevance of Bitcoin's cycles remains heated. Analysts from sources like Glassnode and Rekt Capital are weighing in, speculating that the peak of the current cycle may occur soon. This prospect has led to growing excitement among people involved in the crypto space.

Some believe that the continuation of cycles could attract more institutional investors, which may stabilize Bitcoin's price in the long run. Others question the predictability of these cycles, wondering if traditional patterns still apply in today’s market.

Chiming In on the Discussion

Comments on forums reflect varied sentiments. One person quipped, "Lol What form?" highlighting the skepticism about the cycle’s future. Yet, many users are optimistic about Bitcoin's ability to meet or exceed prior highs.

Key Insights

  • πŸ”Ή 11.5% Surge: Bitcoin's value recently climbed sharply, hinting at a potential rally.

  • πŸ”» Cycle Debate: Ongoing discussions among analysts regarding peak predictions.

  • 🌟 "Cycles are expected to continue," - Saad Ahmed, Gemini.

Bitcoin's journey continues to captivate and provoke thought among investors and enthusiasts alike, as they analyze potential market shifts and the evolving landscape of digital currency.

Forecasting the Path Ahead

Experts anticipate that Bitcoin could continue to see volatile swings, with around a 70% chance of reaching new highs by the end of 2025. This prediction is fueled by seasonality effects and increasing institutional interest. As the fourth quarter traditionally favors Bitcoin, many believe that the emotional trading behaviors will amplify these price movements. Analysts suggest that if major players enter the market, we could witness reduced volatility alongside persistent price fluctuations. Still, there's about a 30% chance that changing regulations could send the market in an unexpected direction, complicating the traditional cycle.

Echoes from the Past

This situation mirrors the late 1990s dot-com bubble, where excitement over tech stocks led to dramatic market fluctuations. While the underlying technology had potential, the irrational exuberance created a rollercoaster of investment trends. Just as the rise of the internet sparked both skepticism and optimism, Bitcoin’s cycles evoke contrasting views on its future. The tech industry's eventual correction taught investors valuable lessons that might apply today; in the end, it became clear that real innovation prevailed despite the chaos, much like how Bitcoin could stabilize as the market matures.