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Can miners really hit a block or just a desk toy?

Can a Small Miner Really Hit a Block or Just a Desktop Gadget? | Users Weigh In

By

Johnathan Miles

Jul 6, 2025, 06:38 PM

3 minutes estimated to read

A cryptocurrency mining rig working to solve a block, featuring multiple graphics cards and glowing lights
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A debate is brewing among crypto enthusiasts about the practicality of small mining devices. New users are curious about whether these miners can genuinely find a block or if they merely serve as elaborate decoration. Amid mixed sentiments, insights from seasoned miners provide a glimpse into the realities of solo mining.

Context of the Debate

Recent discussions have sparked interest in the viability of low-hashrate miners, with many users reflecting on their experiences. One user admitted uncertainty, questioning the potential of small miners against their hefty price tags. The post underscores a common conflict in the mining community: is it worth investing in such gadgets, or are miners simply betting on luck?

The Odds of Success

Several users chimed in with their opinions:

  • "Remember that guy yesterday from that article, who mined 2 days with his new 9 TH miner and won a block? It’s possible."

Another shared:

"According to the manufacturer, that miner has a hashrate of 1TH/s. The odds of finding a block during one year of operation are about 1 in 16,590."

For many, this reads as a combination of hope and harsh reality. Just like lottery odds, the chances aren't high, but they exist.

Perspectives from Users

The conversation shows varied responses:

  • Possibility vs. Probability: Users do see a sliver of hope, equating their experience with solo mining to a lottery game.

  • Experience Over Payout: Some, like one forum participant, mentioned their enthusiasm for mining regardless of results, stating, "I enjoy having the unit, and for me, it is a fun desktop screen to see what BTC is doing."

  • Casual Alternatives: Others argue that shaking their phones for small amounts of Bitcoin yields better results than investing in a low hash power miner.

Insights from the Community

Community interactions reveal a blend of skepticism and enthusiasm:

  • Rare Wins: One miner remarked, "If you have the BMM101 we are to hit a block once every 11,800 years."

  • Cosmic Luck Theory: Another chimed in, suggesting, "If you believe in cosmic luck, then we have better odds than you think!"

There's also a prevailing sentiment that these miners serve more as stylish gadgets rather than reliable income sources.

Key Takeaways

  • πŸ”Ή Odds of hitting a block with a low hashrate miner are slim, approximating 1 in 16,590 for 1 TH/s over a year.

  • πŸ”Ή Users enjoy the aesthetic value of miners, often more than the financial returns.

  • πŸ”Ή "Probably get more sats per day shaking your phone with shakepay" - A critical view on the efficacy of low hashrate miners.

As the crypto landscape evolves, discussions like these highlight the balance between hope and practicality. Are tiny miners worth it, or just elaborate toys? The conversation is far from over.

Looking Ahead in Mining Technology

There’s a strong chance that as technology advances, low-hashrate miners will either evolve or fade from relevance. Experts estimate around 20% of current small miners may see improvements in efficiency over the next year, possibly resulting in better odds of success for finding blocks. Additionally, the growing interest in alternative mining strategies, such as cloud mining and increased regulations, might shift the community's focus away from physical units. Meanwhile, enthusiasts could embrace more user-friendly options that don’t solely depend on hashrate, making the hobby more accessible and appealing.

Tokens and Triumphs: A Historical Twist

Much like the early days of video game consoles, where enthusiasts invested in hardware more for the joy of the experience than financial gain, today’s crypto miners mirror that sentiment. Just as fans once lined up for limited-edition game systems that yielded little in the way of financial return, the small mining devices stand as coveted gadgets in a digital age. The thrill of engagement, community connections, and the hopeful wager on future growth resembles those console wars of the pastβ€”where the passion, rather than clear rewards, drove their worth.