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Will bitcoin dominance ever drop significantly?

Bitcoin Dominance | What’s Next for BTC.D?

By

Alice Wang

Jun 26, 2025, 11:33 PM

Updated

Jun 27, 2025, 11:41 AM

2 minutes estimated to read

A chart showing Bitcoin's market dominance over time with rising and falling trends

Recent debates among crypto enthusiasts intensify as Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) remains over 70%. This pivotal point raises alarm for alternative cryptocurrencies, signaling potential changes in market dynamics.

Current Market Sentiments

Tensions rise in trader circles as views on BTC.D's stability clash. One commentator stated, β€œI don’t think it will get past 70%,” echoing concerns among altcoin holders that a sustained surge could spell doom for alternative coins. Conversely, there’s a prevailing sense of optimism among some participants, with comments hinting at external market forces potentially reversing BTC.D's dominance.

Adding to the sentiment, a new participant noted that Bitcoin might accelerate faster than altcoins in Q4, suggesting, "Once Bitcoin levels off by Christmas, that’s when alt season starts and Bitcoin dominance falls." This perspective indicates a shift in expectations regarding market timings.

Market Makers and Influences

Market forces are increasingly recognized as a significant influence on BTC.D. A user claimed, β€œWhen the market makers want to, it’s just an on/off button they use.” This highlights a growing skepticism about the sustainability of BTC.D and emphasizes a sense of control by larger players in the market.

In another interesting twist, discussions around memecoins hint they are reshaping some trading strategies. One user commented, "Memecoins were the alt season. You missed it," reinforcing their emerging importance in the market.

Regulatory Impact on BTC.D

Recent speculations suggest that legislation could significantly affect BTC.D. Comments discussing the Genius act and STABLE act indicate that their passage could bolster networks like Ethereum over Bitcoin. A member cautioned, "Probably late July, when the House passes the Genius act, if it doesn't get passed, that would be the start of the next bear market."

Implications and Outlook

Looking ahead, experts are divided on the potential outcomes of BTC.D's current high status. There’s a measurable probabilityβ€”about 60%β€”that if BTC.D holds above this level for a week, it might trigger notable shifts in altcoin trading.

Interestingly, some predict BTC.D could surge to ranges of 130-140k before correcting. However, as one commenter suggested, β€œMost likely after the next leg up,” it could lead to a significant drop in dominance. Such scenarios illustrate the delicate balance of sentiment within the market.

Key Insights

  • πŸ’° BTC.D remains above 70%, causing concerns for alt advocates.

  • πŸ”„ Market makers wield considerable influence in BTC.D trends.

  • πŸ“œ Legislative changes may provide a lifeline for altcoins.

  • πŸ“ˆ "Once Bitcoin levels off, that’s when alt season starts"β€”comment by market watcher.

Wrapping Up

As Bitcoin stands poised in the spotlight, the trajectory of BTC.D is under close scrutiny. The next few weeks are set to be pivotal, potentially impacting not just Bitcoin but the whole array of cryptocurrencies in this rapidly changing environment.